Austin, TX
Property Risk Report
Austin, TX remains one of the most dynamic real estate markets in the United States, driven by sustained tech sector migration, a young professional demographic, and robust infrastructure investment. Our AI analysis of 240,000+ Austin properties reveals a city with strong appreciation fundamentals tempered by emerging climate and affordability headwinds.
Austin Market Overview
Ranked #2 fastest-growing major metro in the US (2024)
$4.2B in commercial real estate investment in 2023
Tech employment grew 18.3% YoY — highest in Texas
Average days on market: 22 days (seller's market)
Flood risk elevated in 34% of zip codes near Barton Creek
Extreme heat days projected to increase from 14 to 41/year by 2045 (NOAA)
Barton Creek flood plain affects 34% of zip codes — FEMA Zone AE
Affordability index declining — median income covers only 68% of mortgage
Wildfire interface risk elevated in western hill country suburbs
Tesla Gigafactory + Apple Campus driving sustained demand in north/east corridors
Light rail expansion (Project Connect) adding value to 12 new station areas
$1.8B UT Austin research campus expansion — 8,000 new jobs by 2027
East Austin gentrification corridor still 18-22% below comparable west-side pricing
Austin Neighborhood Rankings
| Neighborhood | Crime(Lower = safer) | Flood(Lower = safer) | Climate(Lower = safer) | Appreciation(Higher = better) | Median Price | 1yr Change | Walk Score | Schools | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Downtown Austin | 58 | 22 | 61 | 91 | $720K | +14.2% | 96 | 7.8/10 | Rising |
South Congress | 42 | 18 | 59 | 88 | $680K | +12.8% | 88 | 8.1/10 | Rising |
North Loop | 47 | 16 | 60 | 87 | $498K | +18.1% | 71 | 7.4/10 | Rising |
Mueller | 28 | 14 | 58 | 86 | $610K | +10.9% | 82 | 8.6/10 | Rising |
East Austin | 61 | 31 | 63 | 84 | $590K | +16.4% | 79 | 7.2/10 | Rising |
Bouldin Creek | 38 | 44 | 61 | 83 | $645K | +11.3% | 85 | 8.3/10 | Rising |
Hyde Park | 34 | 20 | 57 | 82 | $575K | +9.4% | 77 | 8.9/10 | Stable |
Barton Hills | 22 | 68 | 62 | 79 | $820K | +7.2% | 54 | 9.1/10 | Stable |
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